Remember back in May when various media sages were
prognosticating that the TV rerun was about to become extinct?
The 12-month schedule is upon us, they explained, meaning an end to the fall
season in favor of premieres staggered through the year.
So, for example, as one batch of shows winds up the season in February,
another slides into those time slots to run through the summer.
With new content throughout the year, the networks would have less need for
reruns.
Behind this thinking, as we all realize, is a
notion that goes back decades. It is that primetime rerunsespecially summer
rerunsare bad.
And there is a corollary assumption, spoken less-0ften. It is that viewers will
flock to original programming, no matter what time of year.
Now we all know the second assumption is wrong, a
point proved once again by this summer's North Shore and The Jury,
two shows that tanked. Viewers do not flock to shows just because they are new. They have
to be good television.
But the first assumption, that reruns are bad, is just as untrue, though it's
far more widely believed.
In truth, reruns provide important benefits for networks and viewers. Here
are four:
(1) In terms of ratings, reruns are a surer bet,
especially during summer
The assumption that summer reruns are bad for TV is
accepted research wisdom. As Media Lifes Toni Fitzgerald reported in May, a Magna
Global USA study from 2003 showed that broadcast household ratings dip 11 percent on
average when repeats make up 20-to-40 percent of the primetime schedule, and 20 percent
when reruns account for 40 percent or more of all network shows.
But the study does not take into consideration
that the fact that many viewers leave town during spring break, summer and
Christmasthe times of year when TV schedules are traditionally rerun-heavy.
The fact is that a summer rerun of an established
series is more likely to win its time slot than a new episode of an inferior show.
We've seen this again this summer. Despite aggressive ad campaigns for
North Shore, Casino and Trading Spouses, Fox is still
finishing a distant fourth on Monday nights among households.
CBS continues to rule, even with reruns of "CSI: Miami,"
Everybody Loves Raymond and the rest of its comedy block.
The same holds true for Tuesdays. Not even the
presence of Barry Levinson could save The Jury from Navy NCIS.
True, certain shows will fare poorly in reruns
during the summer, but in general the opposite holds true.
(2) Reruns sustain franchises
A network is usually better off airing reruns of an
established show during the summer rather than pre-empting with original programming, and
not just because the rerun might bring in better ratings.
Reruns are great for sustaining and building a show's franchise, as smart
programmers are well aware.
For one, a show's core audience will stick with it during reruns out of
loyalty. They'll want to see favorite episodes again, or perhaps the one or two they
missed.
Too, summer reruns give fans who discovered the
show at mid-season a chance to catch up on the earlier episodes they missed. And of course
reruns also work to snag new viewers to a series.
Yes, it's possible to overexpose reruns, which is a huge turnoff. But reruns in
themselves are not the fault.
We saw how smart use of reruns worked for CBS in June, when it repeated
CSI and Without a Trace in the Thursday 8 p.m. time slot normally
occupied by Survivor.
We'll see it again in the fall with CBS's Crimetime Saturday
hour. Borrowing from the HBO playbook, the network will use the Saturday 10 p.m. slot to
air encore presentations of CSI, Trace and the spinoff series
CSI: New York for the benefit of those who may have missed those shows earlier
in the week.
(3) Reruns give viewers a break
Part of the problem with the 12-month TV
schedule is that it assumes that viewers will always be around to watch.
But even the most hardcore viewers need a break,
especially during the summer. That's one big reason we have summer reruns.
Say you plan your life around NYPD Blue. You still have another
life, one relating to family, and you need a few weeks off, usually in July and August,
for that other life, if only to take care of obligations accumulated earlier in the year
when you were glued to your TV set.
Hard as it may be for TV executives to believe,
people actually do things besides watch television. Even the strongest of networks can
only expect to grab so much of a viewers time.
The risk is with being greedy.
Rather than attempting to lock in viewers for 12 months a year, it makes more
sense to focus on the nine or 10 months when viewers are most inclined to be watching.
HBO gives us the model for that. Rather than
competing with the other networks seven nights a week, HBO concentrates on one night of
original programming, Sundays, using reruns of those shows throughout the week to build
toward next Sunday.
(4) Reruns provide solid bricks whenever theres a hole in
the schedule.
The other fallacy about the year-round schedule
is that it assumes the networks will suddenly start exercising patience with new shows.
Patience is a virtue but certainly a rarer and rarer one over the last 25
years of television.
Back in the days of three networks, even the lowest-rated show was guaranteed
13 weeks on the air. No more. Now if a show fails to pull viewers after one or two weeks,
it gets yanked.
That leaves the network with a hole in its schedule.
How does it plug the hole?
It can plug it with specials or a replacement show thats already in
reserve.
But unless the network has an exceptionally deep bullpen--none do at this
point--it has little choice but to slip in a rerun.
Imagine you are Fox, the very network that set out to launch the 12-month
schedule earlier this year.
Suppose Tuesday night placeholder "House" fails to take off in
November.
Do you move up the launch of another show to fill in for it?
For strategic purposes you probably want to wait until January to launch a
new show, paired with American Idol."
In that case, as at Fox you have few options, and the most logical is the one
networks have been relying on for years: Toss in a rerun.
You'll still be able to talk about the 12-month TV season, but you'll be
doing the smart thing by turning to one of traditional television's more reliable devices.
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